Nevada and South Carolina Results

So it looks like the results are in tonight for Nevada and South Carolina. The candidates prove once more that you can't count your chickens before they hatch, as the results weren't entirely what people expected again.

I'll start out with Nevada. Hilary Clinton and Mitt Romney came out with decisive victories here, though when you stop to look closer at the results, Barack Obama actually left with more delegates than she did. With 99% of precincts reporting in, here's the breakdown:

Hillary Clinton: 51% +12 delegates
Barack Obama: 45% +13 delegates
John Edwards, and Dennis Kucinich barely got enough to be worth the mention. Neither got any more delegates.

Mitt Romney: 51% +18 delegates
Ron Paul: 14% +4 delegates
John McCain: 13% +4 delegates
Mike Huckabee: 8% +2 delegates
Fred Thompson: 8% +2 delegates
Rudy Giuliani: 4% +1 delegate

In South Carolina, though McCain only won the raw vote by 3% it seems he's going to land himself the lion's share of the delegates. I'm not sure why that is, but it is, and once more the race is wide open on the Republican side. I'll also note that this primary strips the state of half its delegates to the convention. I mean really folks, why the hell is this the case? Neither party believes in the sanctity of the vote or what? Anyway, here's the breakdown with 92% of precincts reporting:

John McCain: 33% +19 delegates
Mike Huckabee: 30% +5 delegates
Fred Thompson: 16% +0 delegates ( this seems a bit unfair, no? )
Mitt Romney: 15% +0 delegates ( also seems a bit unfair, no? )
Ron Paul and Rudy Giuliani both ended up with barely enough to care.

Delegate Counts to Date: Democrats
Hillary Clinton: 210
Barack Obama: 123
John Edwards: 52
Dennis Kucinich: 1
Mike Gravel: 0

Dodd, Biden, and Richardson have all dropped out.

Delegate Counts to Date: Republicans
Mitt Romney: 72
John McCain: 38
Mike Huckabee: 29
Fred Thompson: 8
Ron Paul: 6
Rudy Giuliani: 2
Duncan Hunter: 1

None of the Republicans have dropped out yet, probably because this is still wide open, anyone's game.

Though Mitt Romney is beginning to pull away, he's by no means got a lock on this yet. You need 1191 delegates to clinch the nomination at the convention. The Democrats need 2,025 to clinch it, so even though Hillary has a huge lead on delegates, she could still end up losing this.

Next up in the race: South Carolina Democratic primary on Saturday, January 26. After that, the Florida primaries on January 29. Florida is the first truly big state, do or die because it's a winner-take-all state. Rudy Giuliani has been banking his entire strategy on what happens there, and if he doesn't win he's more or less toast unless he pulls of a major upset on Super Tuesday, February 5.
"It is pointless to resist, my son." -- Darth Vader
"Resistance is futile." -- The Borg
"Mother's coming for me in the dragon ships. I don't like these itchy clothes, but I have to wear them or it frightens the fish." -- Thurindil

Well. I guess that's that then.

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Posted on Jan 19, 2008 9:07 pm by Samson in: | 5 comment(s) [Closed]
It appears that Fred Thompson has quit the race today. Here's a local (to you) article on the matter. Sorry, Samson, I know you were rooting for him.

Yeah, I saw an article on this morning about it. Shame really, I was hoping he'd at least go into Super Tuesday and see how things went. But I guess it wasn't meant to be. So now it literally becomes a "who do we hate the least" campaign on both sides.

Well, I still think we've got Ron Paul as a possibility, but sadly, the "who do we hate the least" campaign is what I've pretty much gotten used to my whole life as a voter here. :(

Strike one more as Dennis Kucinich has dropped out of the race. Now what will all those UFO worshiping Democrats do?

Take the rest of the political season off to go vacation at Area 51? ;)

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